The Pittsburgh Pirates are in the playoffs for the first time in 21
years. Tonight is a big night for the city and everyone will be
watching, even the big rubber duck. Check out these predictions for
tonight's game along with five wild card questions about the Reds vs the
Pirates.
The Reds and Pirates have been playing each other since 1882; Chester Arthur was the president then.
NL Wild Card: Reds at Pirates
They
have played each other five times in the postseason: 1970, '72, '75,
'79 and '90; the '72 National League Championship Series was one of the
best.
Now they will play one game: The winner advances and the
loser goes home. It will be the first postseason game for the Pirates
since 1992. PNC Park will be rocking. It can't get much better than
this.
Here are five questions.
How ready is Johnny Cueto for this start?
Cueto was on the disabled list for 10 weeks with a pulled muscle in his
side. It was so bad, by late August, Reds manager Dusty Baker said the
best-case scenario was that Cueto would pitch out of the bullpen in the
postseason. Instead, he made it back for two starts in September. He
pitched 12 innings, while allowing eight hits and one earned run.
"I saw one of those starts," one scout said. "He looked good, not like a guy who had been hurt."
The Reds had planned on starting Mat Latos
in this game, but an elbow injury kept him out. Cueto is the Reds' best
pitcher when he is healthy, but is he strong enough having thrown just
12 innings since late June?
What should be expect from Pirates starter Francisco Liriano?
We're
never quite sure, but he was far less erratic than in the last few
years: 16-8, 3.02 ERA and a .224 batting average against made him
Pittsburgh's best pitcher this year.
He got this assignment, in part because he is devastating against
left-handed hitters: a .131 batting average, and only two extra-base
hits (no homers), in 130 at-bats this season.
Three of the Reds' best hitters, Joey Votto, Jay Bruce and Shin-Soo Choo,
bat left-handed. Votto and Bruce do well against lefties, but Choo hit
only .215 and slugged .265 (no homers) against lefties. Choo is the guy
who makes things go at the top of the Reds' order.
What does momentum mean at this time of year?
The
Pirates won five of their last six games -- they allowed a total of 11
runs in those games -- and swept the Reds in Cincinnati the final
weekend of the season to secure home-field advantage for the wild-card
game.
The Reds lost their final five games of the season,
scoring a total of eight runs. One scout said the series last weekend in
Cincinnati "looked like two teams going in opposite directions. But
things can change fast in October." Just ask the Reds. Last year, they
won the first two games of the division series against the Giants in San
Francisco, then lost three straight at home to get eliminated.
What are the Reds' plans for Billy Hamilton?
His speed is a weapon that other teams don't have.
Hamilton
He went 7-for-19 at the plate in September and stole 13 bases in 14
tries. Teams usually win in October because they have a strong bullpen
and a strong bench; bringing Hamilton off the bench to pinch-run and
steal a base could steal the Reds a victory.
Hamilton might not
be ready to play center field every day, and he's still learning to
switch-hit, but no other team in the playoffs will have anyone quite
like him coming off the bench in the late innings.
What is the status of Pirates closer Jason Grilli?
All good. He missed six weeks with a forearm injury, but he returned Sept. 4 and has been impressive since.
Grilli
He saved three games during the final week of the regular season --
running his total to 33 for the season -- giving the Pirates 55 saves
this year, most in the NL.
With Grilli, the Pirates' bullpen is loaded; Mark Melancon,
who did a nice job filling in for Grilli, can return to his role as the
eight-inning setup guy. Only the Braves had a better bullpen ERA than
the Pirates (2.89) this year. And now it appears the Pirates' pen is at
full capacity.
The pick: Pirates win.
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